Novo Nordisk holder en af de sjældne Wide Moat ratings

I denne uge sætter vi fokus på Danmarks mest værdifulde selskab, Novo Nordisk. Novo Nordisk og Novozymes er de to eneste danske selskaber, som pt. holder en Wide Moat rating.

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Læs hele analysen af Novo Nordisk her.

Bull og Bear scenarier: 

Bulls say

- The increased prevalence of obesity and pateint conversion to pricier modern insulin offerings should expand the branded diabetes-care market by 12% anually over the next five years.

- With a promising pipeline full of nextgeneration insulins, Novo is well positioned to defend its formidable diabetes market share in the long run. 

- Novo's prowess developing therapeutic proteins has led to the creation of a highly profitable line of biopharmaceutical products for hemophilia and other disorders, helping to diversify its top line and further boost margins.

Bears Say

- Tresiba, Ryzodeg, and Xultophy won't reach the lucrative U.S. market until at least 2016, allowing Sanofi to continue to dominate with Lantus and introduce new insulin offering Toujeo in the interim.

- Novo and its insulin market peers have enjoyed tremendous U.S. pricing power in recent years, but the passing of the patent cliff and increased consolidation of PBMs could limit this power in the future.

- Novo's Victoza has been a strong growth driver, but exclusion from the Express Scripts formulary in 2014 and the introduction of other potent GLP-1 analogs could weigh on growth.

 

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